Front panel: regulators Huanshuai the first week increases the probability of 3000 points into the important resistance – Sohu financial Chinese Economic Net Beijing news February 22nd the year of the first trading week market ushered in a good start, the Shanghai composite index rebounded for three days, to around 2850, after two days of continuous narrow shocks, can significantly enlarge the volume. Data show that last week, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 3.49%, the amplitude of 7.64%, the cumulative turnover of 963 billion 454 million yuan, a significant increase in the previous week’s 779 billion 296 million yuan. On the news side, it is worth noting that the relevant stock movements of the company mean, in February 20th, the seventh president of the Securities Regulatory Commission Xiao Gang outgoing. The media have detailed combing found that the outgoing chairman of the Commission after the first week of the Shanghai index rose to a high probability event. Liu Hongru stepped down as chairman of the securities and Regulatory Commission in March 30, 1995. On the first trading day after his departure, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.53%. The first week was up 4.46%. However, in the first month after his departure, the Shanghai Composite Index ended with a 8.08% decline. The second chairman of the SFC Zhou Daojiong after the departure of the first trading day coincides with Monday, the Shanghai index rose 2.67% Friday, the first trading day rose to 4.76%. Similarly, after Zhou Daojiong left the Securities Commission chairman a month later, the Shanghai composite index still closed down, and the monthly decline was about 3%. Zhou Zhengqing stepped down in February 23, 2000, and the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.47% in February 24th, after the first week of departure, the cumulative increase was 6.45%. It is worth noting that, compared with the previous two, Zhou Zhengqing’s first month after leaving, the rise index continued to rise, the month rose to 9.55%. The fourth chairman of the SFC Zhou Xiaochuan after the departure of the first trading day of December 27, 2002, the Shanghai Composite Index edged down 0.09%; the departure of the first week, the Shanghai index is still maintain a downward trend, fell by 4.64% in a single week. However, in the first month after Zhou Xiaochuan’s departure, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 6.86%. Shang Fulin, chairman of the fifth Securities Regulatory Commission, left office in October 29, 2011, and is the longest standing chairman of the CSRC in china. The Shanghai Composite Index in the office after the first trading day by 0.21%. In the first week and the next month, the index change ratio was 2.22%, -5.66%. Article 6 the Commission as the first trading day of President Guo Shuqing 3 2013 years after the departure of the Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.68%, the first week rose 2.19%, the first month fell 3.71%. Analysts believe that A stock short-term finishing material still has further upward space. First of all, the stability of the RMB exchange rate against the U.S. dollar has eliminated the most uncertain factors that have been inhibiting the operation of A shares in the near future. Secondly, the macro data released in the near future will also contribute to the late A stock to a certain extent. In addition, on the market itself factor analysis, after the continuous adjustment, the Shanghai and Shenzhen two cities also rebound demand. After last week’s rebound, the market is facing a reduction in profit margins and strong technical pressure. Although the two cities have some consolidation demand, but overall upward current A shares is expected to not end soon. %

盘前:监管层换帅首周上涨概率大 3000点成重要阻力位-搜狐财经   中国经济网北京2月22日讯 猴年首个交易周市场迎来开门红,上证综指连续反弹三日,行至2850点附近,之后两日连续窄幅震荡,量能显著放大。数据显示,上周沪综指累计上涨3.49%,振幅为7.64%,累计成交9634.54亿元,环比前一周的7792.96亿元显著放大。  消息面上值得注 相关公司股票走势 意的是,2月20日第七任证监会主席肖钢卸任。有媒体详细梳理后发现,证监会主席离任后首周上证指数上涨为大概率事件。  刘鸿儒1995年3月30日卸任第一任证监会主席,在其离任后的第一个交易日,上证指数上涨2.53%。第一周上涨4.46%。不过,在其离任后的第一个月里,上证指数最终以8.08%的跌幅“遗憾”收场。  第二任证监会主席周道炯离任后的第一个交易日恰逢周一,当日上证指数上涨2.67%,首周五个交易日涨幅为4.76%。同样,在周道炯离任证监会主席一个月后,上证指数仍以下跌报收,全月跌幅约为3%。  周正庆在2000年2月23日卸任,2月24日上证指数单日涨幅为2.47%,其离任后首周累计涨幅为6.45%。值得注意的是,与前两任相比,周正庆离任后的第一个月,上涨指数保持上涨,当月涨幅为9.55%。  第四任证监会主席周小川离任后的首个交易日2002年12月27日,上证指数微跌0.09%;其离任首周,上证指数仍然保持下跌之势,单周下跌4.64%。不过,周小川离任后的第一个月,上证指数最终上涨6.86%。  第五任证监会主席尚福林,在2011年10月29日卸任,其是迄今为止在任时间最长的中国证监会主席。上证指数在其离任后的首个交易日微跌0.21%。而在此后的第一周、第一月的指数变化分比为2.22%、-5.66%。  第六任证监会主席郭树清2013年3月离任后的首个交易日,上证指数下跌1.68%,首周上涨2.19%,第一个月下跌3.71%。  分析认为,A股短线整理后料仍有进一步上行的空间。首先,人民币兑美元汇率的稳定消除了近期以来抑制A股运行的最大不确定性因素。其次,近期公布的宏观数据亦将在一定程度上对后期A股形成提振。此外,就市场本身因素分析,连续调整后沪深两市同样存反弹需求。经过上周的反弹后市场面临获利盘减持以及较强的技术面压力。虽然两市存一定整固需求,但整体来看当前A股的上行预计将不会过快结束。  A股市场重要新闻  218家公司披露业绩快报 近10亿元资金抄底13只白马股  72份年报本周出炉 逾7亿元大单涌入23只业绩预喜股  网络安全列入国家重点研发计划 拓尔思等六只概念股迎爆发契机  再振市场信心 期待健康“中国牛”  各路资金陆续进场 沪指剑指3000点  深交所上市公司要约收购 业务指引修订稿呈现四大变化  中注协约谈15家事务所 剑指上市公司年报审计风险  央企第二批试点名单有望上半年公布 具备四个特点企业入选概率大  国企概念股将开启猴年“红包”行情  持股行权试点 引领中小投资者积极行权  多层资本市场互联互通“点亮”区域性股权市场  新华百货股权之争暂落幕 物美系重夺控股权  证监会受理首发企业762家 已过会100家  刘士余出任证监会第八任主席 备受关注再振市场信心  上证所再问山水文化 神秘自然人举牌未披露  机构观点  国泰君安:两会前后,政策频吹暖风维稳。A股启动第二波调整完成后的修复行情,是市场对前期过度悲观预期的风险偏好修复:美联储3月加息预期缓解全球市场喘息、人民币汇率暂稳、信贷放巨量、稳增长政策暖风以及两会预期。在这波修复行情中,配置的方向在前期超跌的成长股、政策主题、业绩预增、供给侧改革等。建议把握两会前后博弈的时间窗口,留意两会前对供给侧改革、稳增长、人民币汇率、金融改革监管、注册制等重要议题的舆论预热和讨论。  兴业证券:尽管当前由于宽松预期升温,外围担忧缓解,政策环境温和,反弹的时间窗口延续,不过,反弹的路径有反复,需要积小胜为大胜。特别是熊市中的反弹环境下,当市场情绪开始显著改善、乐观预期开始发酵时,要适时收获;在反弹环境总体维持的预期下,不断地寻找新的机会。目前的反弹更多是市场风险快速释放过后的一段修复期,反弹收获期之后将会重新面临中长期变量的考量。从未来3-6个月的维度来看,仍需要提防风险溢价上升带来的调整,因此对于资金量较大的投资者或者反弹幅度较大的个股可逐步收获反弹成果。具体投资机会上,除了“立新+破旧”主线,也可注重短期内结构变化,围绕风险收益匹配度较好的股票进行波段操作。  国金证券:弱反弹行情仍将延续,3000点成重要阻力位。春节后至两会期间,是今年上半年相对可为的时间窗口,尽管会有一些扰动。美联储3月不加息预期,给予了新兴市场非常难得的喘息的机会;人民币汇率短期将维持平稳或平稳小幅升值的态势,同样是难得的确定性的时间窗口。  更重要的是,当前步入了“两会”前维稳时期,对A股市场形成短期的重要支撑,接下来各个主要部委均会出来作积极的表态,有助于缓解市场对经济、对系统性风险的担忧;“两会”期间将涉及到“十三五规划、供给侧改革”等话题,对所涉及的相关板块和主题会有一个刺激作用,一些政策扶持行业和主题可能走出较好的行情。  外围指数  截止发稿时  指数名称  最新价  涨跌额  涨跌幅  恒生指数  19285.50 -77.58 -0.40%  日经225指数  15967.17 -229.63 -1.42%  韩国指数  1916.24 7.40 0.39%  澳大利亚指数 4970.00 17.20 0.35%  道琼斯指数 16391.99 -21.44 -0.13%  标普500指数  1917.78 -0.05 0.00%  纳斯达克指数 4504.43 16.89 0.38%  德国DAX指数 9388.05 -75.59 -0.80%相关的主题文章: